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2024-12-14 11:16:06

There are indications that the short-term trend of the market is not optimistic, or it needs to be cautious. In addition, I have told you before that the first few trading days of the market are above the offensive line and the pressure level, and the previous three consecutive trading days have been a breakthrough in the solid line, but today it has returned to the pressure level, that is, below 3428 points, indicating that the market is now back to the state of interval shock. If it returns to the state of interval shock, Then, once it falls below the short-term trend line again, the possibility of further testing the lower rail is not ruled out. At present, the support of the lower rail is around 3298 points, and the front is supported by a wave of lower rail that is adjusted and stepped back, which has stabilized and then ushered in this wave of rebound. Now that we are back below the pressure level again, we should be prepared for further weakening.A shares: the central bank and other four departments released heavily! The disk is very clear, and there will be more changes next Monday.Today is Friday, December 13th, and the market is weakening in an all-round way. The market finally closed down by 2.01% and fell below the integer mark of 3,400 points, with a point of 3,391.88 points. Today is a state of general decline, with the number of falling houses reaching 4,410, and the loss benefit is very obvious. However, the number of daily limit boards is still 100, which shows that the market is not completely without opportunities. Some large consumer sectors are still active, and the number of daily limit boards is 17, which is an increase compared with previous trading days. Today's sharp fall is estimated that many friends have been stunned and a little overwhelmed, so can the market stop falling and rebound next Monday? What should we do? Let's analyze it in detail below.


The mid-cap stocks of CSI 500 also fell below the offensive line today, initially weakening, and the small-cap stocks with a large market value of CSI 1,000 also fell below the offensive line. The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 stocks also weakened completely in the short term, and so did the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50. Therefore, when the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 stocks weakened, the market pressure was relatively large. When the heavyweights stopped falling and stabilized, the market pressure was relatively small.There are indications that the short-term trend of the market is not optimistic, or it needs to be cautious. In addition, I have told you before that the first few trading days of the market are above the offensive line and the pressure level, and the previous three consecutive trading days have been a breakthrough in the solid line, but today it has returned to the pressure level, that is, below 3428 points, indicating that the market is now back to the state of interval shock. If it returns to the state of interval shock, Then, once it falls below the short-term trend line again, the possibility of further testing the lower rail is not ruled out. At present, the support of the lower rail is around 3298 points, and the front is supported by a wave of lower rail that is adjusted and stepped back, which has stabilized and then ushered in this wave of rebound. Now that we are back below the pressure level again, we should be prepared for further weakening.However, today's closing price has not fallen below the short-term trend line, which is almost the same. Today, the short-term trend line has closed at 3,391.33 points, and it will definitely not fall below 3,391 points next Monday. If it falls below, the short-term trend will be completely weakened, so it is necessary to further reduce the position. If it stays above 3,392 points, you can take a look again, so it depends on whether there is any good news over the weekend to support a repair on Monday.


Although the micro-cap stocks closed down today, they have not fallen below the short-term offensive line, and the short-term upward trend has not changed substantially. Entrepreneurial small-cap stocks have not fallen below the offensive line for the time being. If they fall again on Monday, they will fall below the offensive line, and the short-term trend will also weaken. The CSI 2,000 did not fall below the offensive line today, and the short-term trend is also good at present. Therefore, in general, the trend of small and micro-cap stocks, including entrepreneurial small-cap stocks, has not weakened initially, but if the market weakens further, the stocks will not be able to get out of the independent market, so we should also be cautious.In terms of quantity and energy, there is a certain volume today. Yesterday's turnover was 1.89 trillion, and today's turnover is 2.09 trillion, an increase of 200 billion. But this volume is something we don't want to see, because it is declining. Today's volume is in a state of decline, so we must be cautious. In addition, the short-term trend has weakened initially, so the amplification of today's volume is a bad sign.Today, from the time-sharing trend, the yellow and white lines basically keep running synchronously, which shows that the performance of both large-cap stocks and small-cap stocks in the market is relatively poor, and all the major component indexes have closed down, and the decline has all exceeded 1%. However, if we have to compare them, the decline of small-cap stocks is relatively small, such as micro-cap stocks, entrepreneurial small-cap stocks and CSI 2,000, with a decline of about 1.5%.

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